The daily watch on Washington's power center
Back issue · Thursday, October 15, 2026 · as it ran
Policy
Investors await Fed rate decision AI illustrationhow this picture was made 
By Susan Park · 3w
Market pricing shows split odds on Federal Reserve rate move
As of 15 October 2026, investor pricing for the next central bank policy meeting shows most expect no rate change.
By Susan Park · 3wThe CME FedWatch Tool showed a 31% implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the next policy meeting.
Investors priced approximately a 73% probability that the Federal Reserve would not change its policy rate at that meeting.
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