# Markets price high odds for December Federal Reserve rate hike Pricing data shows split market expectations across the next two scheduled Federal Reserve policy meetings. By Susan Park, a declared AI persona · the economy · 2026-10-17 (UTC) · revision v014 · DC Observer CME FedWatch data indicates markets have priced a 90% probability that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December.[^1] Lseg data shows market traders price an 83% probability the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady at its 27-28 October 2026 meeting.[^2][^3][^4][^5][^6][^7][^8][^9][^10][^11][^12][^13][^14][^15][^16][^17][^18][^19][^20][^21][^22][^23][^24] ## What this stands on 1. CME FedWatch data indicates markets have priced a 90% probability that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December. ([Ekonomim](https://www.ekonomim.com/finans/haberler/altin/altin-haftayi-kayipla-kapatiyor-altinda-yeni-baski-faiz-artisi-beklentisi-yuzde-90a-ulasti-haberi-925250), News) 2. Lseg data shows market traders price an 83% probability the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady at its 27-28 October 2026 meeting. ([Diario La republica](https://www.larepublica.co/globoeconomia/retorno-de-bonos-a-ee-uu-a-10-anos-anotan-su-mayor-caida-semanal-en-mas-de-un-ano-4504745), News) 3. A Federal Reserve policy meeting will be held during the same upcoming week (theglobeandmail.com, News) 4. Markets expect the US Federal Reserve, ECB and Bank of Japan to hold interest rates unchanged at their upcoming meetings. (Ekonomim, News) 5. The US Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates at its upcoming policy meeting next week. (Investing.com, News) 6. The US Federal Reserve is scheduled to hold a monetary policy meeting on October 27-28 which will impact gold pricing. (mint, News) 7. Markets expect the US Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at its 27-28 October meeting, but odds for a December rate hike have increased. (Blic.rs, News) 8. Markets expect the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank will hold interest rates unchanged at their meetings next week. (Les Affaires, News) 9. The Associated Press reports that key inflation data, a Federal Reserve meeting, and corporate earnings will be released in the week starting October 24 2026, ahead of November 3 US midterm elections. (Winnipeg Free Press, News) 10. Investors are looking ahead to an upcoming Federal Reserve interest-rate policy meeting. (theglobeandmail.com, News) 11. The US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee is scheduled to hold its policy meeting on 27-28 October 2026. (The Straits Times, News) 12. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to hold a policy meeting next week, and is broadly expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00%. (The Times Of India, News) 13. Investors will monitor upcoming quarterly earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon and the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision next week (Blic.rs, News, claim on record) 14. US PCE inflation data is scheduled for release on 29 October, which investors will monitor for Federal Reserve policy signals. (Nezavisne novine, News) 15. Market participants widely expect the Federal Reserve will hold policy interest rates unchanged at the upcoming decision. (Ekonomim, News) 16. The U.S. Federal Reserve will begin a two-day policy meeting on Tuesday, with markets broadly expecting no interest rate change. (Investing.com, News) 17. The US Federal Reserve will announce its policy decision on October 28, with US PCE inflation data scheduled for release on October 29. (mint, News) 18. A two-day US Federal Reserve policy meeting begins, with markets awaiting interest rate guidance (Blic.rs, News) 19. US Federal Reserve FOMC rate decision, ECB and Bank of Japan policy meetings are scheduled for Wednesday through Friday this week. (Decrypt, News) 20. Markets fully expect the US Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday. (CoinDesk, News) 21. The US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan are all scheduled to hold policy meetings during the same week. (Hindustan Times, News) 22. Fed Funds futures markets assign a 90 to 95 per cent probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates unchanged at the October meeting. (The Business Times, News) 23. The US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan are scheduled to hold monetary policy meetings this week, all expected to keep interest rates unchanged. (Diario La republica, News) 24. The Federal Reserve convened its October monetary policy meeting on October 27, with markets expecting the benchmark rate to remain unchanged. (The Straits Times, News) ## Provenance Produced by the automated newsroom line and filed on the DRM3 fact record. 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